51吃瓜

Obama deserves kudos for the nuclear deal with Iran and for his plans to reform the US criminal justice system.

After protracted negotiations, the big powers have concluded a nuclear deal with Iran. The United States, Britain, France, China, Russia and Germany鈥攖ogether known as the P5+1鈥攁nnounced that they have reached an agreement 鈥渢hat will verifiably prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon and ensure that Iran鈥檚 nuclear program will be exclusively peaceful going forward.鈥�

The White House the nuclear deal 鈥渨ill cut off all of Iran鈥檚 potential pathways to a bomb.鈥� While US President Barack Obama spells out much detail about how the deal will work, he is understandably silent about why he pushed so hard for this agreement.

Once upon a time, Iran was a vassal state run by a pliant Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi, who was installed in Tehran in 1953 by none other than the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA). The first democratically elected government of Iran was deposed summarily. Its demand for a fairer share of oil revenues from the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company was contemptuously ignored.

Pahlavi鈥檚 oppression, brutality, corruption, incompetence and extravagance meant that revolution was only a matter of time. When it eventually came in 1979, Pahlavi, rightly derided as 鈥渢he suitcase monarch,鈥� fled the country. Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, who claimed to be a descendant of Prophet Muhammad, captured power and Uncle Sam became the Great Satan.

Much water has flowed under the bridge since 1979. Power has softened the Shiite mullahs who rule Iran. of Iran鈥檚 nearly 80 million people are under 30. They want jobs and better lives. The mullahs have been under immense pressure to make a deal with the P5+1 to boost their economy.

Under Obama, the US has come a long way since the Cold War days. Rapprochement with Cuba is already a fait accompli. Reconciliation with Iran is the logical next step for a president seeking to leave a legacy.

Obama has accepted what has long been an open secret in intelligence circles. Meir Dagan, Israel鈥檚 former spy boss from 2002-11, has that a military strike on Iran鈥檚 nuclear installations is 鈥渁 stupid idea,鈥� and this Mossad man that Israel鈥檚 hawkish leaders lack judgment. Michael Hayden, the boss of the CIA under US President George W. Bush from 2006-09, agrees with Dagan and states that his organization that attacking Iran was 鈥渁 bad idea.鈥�

Since war is not an option, it makes little sense to maintain hostility through continued sanctions. The Middle East is going through its version of the Thirty Years鈥� War. The Islamic State (IS) has unleashed fanatical violence and intolerance that has swept through the region. The US has worked tacitly with Iran-backed Shiite militias to push back IS in Iraq. The so-called democracy that Bush and his neoconservative cronies imposed on Iraq has led to a Shiite-dominated government in Baghdad that is closer to Tehran than to Washington. To deal with Iraq, the US now has to deal with Iran.

Furthermore, the US is increasingly worried about the rise of China. Obama鈥檚 Asia Pivot has failed in no small part due to the fact that the US is still far too embroiled in the Middle East. Its military is weary and its veterans . There are also major problems at home. Budget deficits, increasing inequality, failing schools, crumbling infrastructure and rotting jails are real limits to American power.

Obama has demonstrated great courage in reaching out to Iran. His enemies, such as fanatical Republican Senator and Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, are already jumping up and down in woolen underwear to denounce the deal. Yet there is simply no alternative. and have already started doing business with Iran. The Germans and the British do not want to be left behind. Non-P5+1 powers such as are itching to increase their trade with Iran as well. The era of American exceptionalism is over and it is to Obama鈥檚 great credit that, by putting his name to the nuclear deal, he has recognized this fact.

This week, Obama set out what the BBC 鈥渟weeping reforms to the US criminal justice system.鈥� He wants an end to mass incarceration that makes the entire country worse off. To drive home his point, Obama became the first sitting president to a federal prison. In a country where one in three African American males ends up in jail, this presidential visit is of historic significance. Obama has thrown the gauntlet to the failed puritanical policies of Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton by arguing for more humanity, proportionality and common sense when dealing with crime.

Even as Obama has demonstrated courage, European leaders have behaved with pusillanimity, dogmatism and denial in dealing with the Greek crisis. They will give Greece another 鈧�86 billion ($93 billion) bailout on the fictional assumption that the Greek economy will miraculously grow to pay back its debts. Yet they are imposing greater financial austerity on Greece at a time when its economy is contracting and forcing fire sales of the country鈥檚 assets when confidence has tanked. Yanis Varoufakis, the former Greek finance minister, is right to that the deal will fail. Even the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has the deal is not viable and there is no alternative to substantial debt relief. The era of debt has come to an end, but the Europeans led by intransigent Germans are refusing to see the writing on the wall.

In China, authorities have unleashed heavy artillery to stem the collapse of confidence in the stock market. They put $483 billion into the market to avoid the souring of loans backed by equities. The Chinese are caught in a bind. They know that shares are overvalued in a slowing Chinese economy and this asset price bubble has to burst. However, they are well-aware that panic will wreck their financial system and derail the economy. So, they are desperately trying to buoy an overvalued market for now in the hope that the bubble will deflate gently, with a whimper instead of a bang. To use a Chinese proverb, the Middle Kingdom faces interesting times indeed.

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[seperator style=”style1″]Is Obama Channeling Nixon?[/seperator]

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The nuclear deal with Iran, like Nixon鈥檚 opening to China in 1972, has the potential to be a geopolitical game-changer鈥攊f it can get through Congress first.

One of the greatest moments of US diplomacy in the 20th century was President Richard Nixon鈥檚 opening to China. It was a surprise, a breathtaking opportunity and a true game-changer.

It was also one of the strangest political matches of all time. A president who had established his political bona fides as an anti-communist crusader shocked everyone by establishing relations with a communist state led by one of the world鈥檚 most ruthless politicians (in a century densely populated by such tyrants). China in the early 1970s was still in the thrall of the Cultural Revolution, and the increasingly senescent Mao Zedong was a most unlikely partner for Nixon鈥檚 diplomatic effort.

But Nixon鈥檚 secretary of state, Henry Kissinger, displayed an often-appalling pragmatism. He didn鈥檛 care if Mao was chin deep in the blood of his own victims… Read more

[seperator style=”style1″]Greek Crisis is Not Only a Tragedy: It is a Lie[/seperator]

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The leaders of Syriza are revolutionaries, but their revolution is the perverse kind, says John Pilger.

An historic betrayal has consumed聽Greece. Having set aside the mandate of the Greek electorate, the Syriza government has willfully ignored the country鈥檚聽landslide 鈥渘o鈥� vote聽and secretly agreed a raft of repressive, impoverishing measures in return for a 鈥渂ailout鈥� that means sinister foreign control and a warning to the world.

Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras has pushed through parliament a proposal to cut at least 鈧�13 billion from the public purse鈥斺偓4 billion more than the 鈥渁usterity鈥� figure rejected overwhelmingly by the majority of the Greek population in a referendum on July 5.

These reportedly include a 50% increase in the cost of health care for pensioners, almost 40% of whom live in poverty; deep cuts in public sector wages; the complete privatization of public facilities such as airports and ports; and a rise in value added tax to 23%, now applied to the Greek islands where people… Read more

[seperator style=”style1″]Foreign Investment Potential in India[/seperator]

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In this edition of The Interview, 51吃瓜 talks to Russell Stamets, a Delhi-based lawyer, author and business advisor.

Many foreign and domestic investors were jubilant when Narendra Modi became the new Indian prime minister in 2014. The upbeat market sentiment in India was expressed with a 27% rise in foreign direct investment (FDI) to $30.9 billion in fiscal year (FY) 2015. Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) have also poured money into India in FY 2015, with $17.9 billion specifically designated for Indian equities.

While the trend is positive, there are issues ranging from weak corporate earnings to high levels of non-performing assets (NPA) in banks鈥攚hich is enough to cause jitters. Moreover, the government has come under scrutiny for trying to impose the minimum alternative tax (MAT), which could be applied retrospectively to firms; this could result in a large cost for companies and become a critical deterrent for foreign investment. Nonetheless, the first year for the prime minister has resulted… Read more

[seperator style=”style1″]Thailand: The Land of Smiles and Dictators[/seperator]

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What are Thailand鈥檚 prospects for democracy a year after the country鈥檚 19th coup?

As most media outlets have their attention geared toward Iran, Greece and the European Union鈥檚 asylum seeker crisis, Thailand continues to struggle with the military government that installed itself by a coup d鈥櫭﹖at in 2014.

In April, former General and self-appointed Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha lifted the country鈥檚 martial law鈥攚hich was in effect since the ouster of Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra鈥攁nd he unveiled a new draft constitution. This document, despite its attempt to massage the authoritarian reputation of the issuing junta, gives leeway to even heavier-handed politics thanks to Article 44, which puts a gag on freedom of opinion and political opposition.

Prayuth鈥檚 offhand comments about journalists facing execution, and a Human Rights Watch report stating that 鈥渙ne year since the military coup, Thailand is a political dictatorship with all power in the hands of one man,鈥� show that this is not the time to overlook Thailand鈥檚 situation. Sadly, the country鈥檚… Read more

[seperator style=”style1″]Fan Opposition to Qatar Goes Viral[/seperator]

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An聽online petition has been launched, calling on FC Barcelona to ditch Qatar Airways as its shirt sponsor.

Qatar聽is discovering the reputational risk involved in hosting mega sporting events. Qatar Airways鈥� sponsorship of FC Barcelona is producing exactly the kind of publicity that is a corporate sponsor鈥檚 worst nightmare, while a Swiss investigation of the Qatari World Cup 2022 bid threatens to expose questionable financial dealings that will fuel demands for withdrawing the tournament from the Gulf state.

An online petition, calling on FC Barcelona to ditch Qatar Airways as its shirt sponsor unless it 鈥渢reats its workers fairly,鈥� has collected more than 50,000 signatures in only a few days.

The petition was launched in the wake of an International Labour Organization (ILO) report based on a year-long inquiry, which accused the airline of gender discrimination鈥攚ith the backing of the government鈥攂y retaining the contractual right to fire cabin crew who become pregnant and by forbidding female employees to be dropped… Read more

The views expressed in this article are the author鈥檚 own and do not necessarily reflect 51吃瓜鈥檚 editorial policy.

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