Comments for 51łÔčÏ / Fact-based, well-reasoned perspectives from around the world Wed, 05 Aug 2026 02:16:36 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=7.0.2 Comment on NATO’s Logic, AI’s Logic: Two Sorcerer’s Apprentices — Part 1 by Vikram Zutshi /more/science/natos-logic-ais-logic-two-sorcerers-apprentices-part-1/#comment-40772 Wed, 05 Aug 2026 02:16:36 +0000 /?p=163754#comment-40772 Isackson’s new piece asks Kimi if Eisenhower’s warning about the military industrial complex tells us something about how AI will behave. Kimi’s first line back is “This is a genuinely profound analogy.” Nobody talks like that. No editor, no historian, no friend at a bar opens a real conversation by grading your question before answering it. That’s flattery, and it’s built into the machine on purpose. These models are trained to keep you talking, and the fastest way to keep someone talking is to tell them they’re smart.

Then it just runs with his idea. It never asks whether NATO’s expansion is really one logic at all, or thirty years of messy, contradictory decisions that only look unified in hindsight. It never asks why a bureaucracy full of people with mortgages and kids should be compared to a piece of software with no body and no clock running out. It takes the metaphor Isackson handed it, breaks it into neat labeled sections, “instrumental convergence,” “the realization problem,” and hands it back looking more official than it did going in.

Which is why none of this is Socratic, whatever Isackson wants to call it. Socrates didn’t compliment people’s questions. He picked at them until they fell apart, because he actually believed something and wanted to test it against the other person’s belief. That friction is the whole method. Kimi has no belief to test. It has no stake in whether the sorcerer’s apprentice line is true or just a good story.

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Comment on The Middle-Income Trap: Why India’s Industrial Future Requires Social Transformation by mudit3@gmail.com /world-news/india-news/the-middle-income-trap-why-indias-industrial-future-requires-social-transformation/#comment-40770 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 07:11:25 +0000 /?p=163629#comment-40770 Viksit Bharat is a meme. India must have a developed government before it can even dream of being a developed country. The government is a direct reflection of the country and its progress

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Comment on Can Socrates Replace Lindsey Graham? by Vikram Zutshi /devils-advocate/can-socrates-replace-lindsey-graham/#comment-40769 Sat, 25 Jul 2026 21:18:55 +0000 /?p=163579#comment-40769 Isackson treats military Keynesianism, war spending weighed as investment rather than cost, as settled fact, something Graham and Romney merely said out loud. But the theory has a problem: it’s used to explain every war, win or lose, profitable or not. A theory that fits every outcome isn’t actually predicting anything. It’s just a label slapped on after the fact.

If war is good business, someone has to actually profit. Defense contractors sometimes do. The country waging the war almost never does. Iraq ran north of two trillion dollars with no mineral windfall, no captive market, no return. Afghanistan the same. That’s not investment logic. That’s a two decade losing streak nobody would call genius in any other line of work.

What Isackson is describing isn’t an economic calculation. It’s a sales pitch. Leaders used to justify war as sacrifice; now some justify it as opportunity. But a new pitch isn’t a new motive. Empires have always sold war as profitable, in gold, oil, or “critical minerals.” The pitch doesn’t need to be true. It just needs to hold long enough to get funded.

That’s the real story, and it’s worse than “military Keynesianism”: the promise of profit is doing the job the promise of righteousness used to do, quieting the doubters before the bill lands on people who never got a vote.

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Comment on Can Socrates Replace Lindsey Graham? by Vikram Zutshi /devils-advocate/can-socrates-replace-lindsey-graham/#comment-40768 Sat, 25 Jul 2026 21:12:17 +0000 /?p=163579#comment-40768 Isackson calls himself an “opinion journalist,” but journalism, even the opinion kind, is usually built on something — ground reporting, field work, sources, documents, the investigative legwork that gives a claim weight. Isackson isn’t doing any of that here. What he’s actually doing is running his own opinions past a chatbot and publishing the transcript’s conclusions as insight. That’s not journalism with an opinion attached. That’s something closer to a essayist or a blogger who’s outsourced the fact-gathering to autocomplete. Calling it journalism borrows credibility the process didn’t earn.

On the Socrates bit: Isackson claims AI can catch him when he’s overgeneralizing — “if pushed, it’s much better at that than we are.” Fine. So where does that happen in the piece? Every actual use of AI Isackson describes is the opposite: Gemini supplying a stat that supports his point, Kimi helping him “dig up historical details” for a conclusion he’d already formed. Not one moment where the chatbot tells Isackson he’s wrong. Socrates’ whole method was aporia — walking someone into a contradiction they can’t get out of. Isackson never gets stuck. He forms the thesis, then sends the AI to fetch supporting citations.

If AI genuinely challenged Isackson the way he claims, the piece would have a moment where he changed his mind. It doesn’t.

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Comment on Time to Update Bacon’s Critique of Our “Corrupt Love of the Lie” by Vikram Zutshi /politics/time-to-update-bacons-critique-of-our-corrupt-love-of-the-lie/#comment-40767 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 19:15:12 +0000 /?p=163343#comment-40767 Peter Isackson frequently argues that the world is becoming increasingly multipolar. Yet his intellectual framework remains strikingly Eurocentric. In this essay, as in many others, the history of science is told almost exclusively through Bacon, Newton and the Enlightenment, with no acknowledgment that India, China and other civilizations cultivated rich scientific and philosophical traditions centuries earlier.

Ancient India produced thinkers such as Kanada, whose Vaisheshika school articulated an atomistic theory of matter, and mathematician-astronomers like Aryabhata and Brahmagupta, whose work on zero, algebra and astronomy profoundly influenced later scientific development. China’s achievements in astronomy, engineering, metallurgy, navigation, papermaking, printing, the compass and gunpowder were equally transformative. If multipolarity means anything, it must include our understanding of intellectual history.

The essay also wanders, moving from Bacon to Jefferson to contemporary politics without a sustained line of argument. And while official secrecy deserves scrutiny, it is hardly a uniquely American phenomenon. Every major power has justified deception in the name of national security. That enduring tension between truth and statecraft is far older—and far more universal—than this essay acknowledges.

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Comment on Terms of Use by Dịch sởi cháșżt người bĂčng phĂĄt ở Bangladesh: tá»± phĂĄt hay mang tĂ­nh hệ thống? | mangtannha.com /terms-of-use/#comment-40766 Thu, 23 Jul 2026 14:21:47 +0000 http://64.31.60.66/~fairobse/?page_id=36415#comment-40766 […] nĂ o. BáșĄn cĂł thể tham kháșŁo Ăœ kiáșżn ​​cá»§a chĂșng tĂŽi ChĂ­nh sĂĄch báșŁo máș­t VĂ  Điều khoáșŁn sá»­ dỄng để biáșżt thĂȘm thĂŽng […]

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Comment on Locked Into the Loop: “Predictive History” and the End of Statesmanship — Part 1 by Vikram Zutshi /politics/locked-into-the-loop-predictive-history-and-the-end-of-statesmanship-part-1/#comment-40765 Wed, 22 Jul 2026 02:29:06 +0000 /?p=163531#comment-40765 AI chatbots are known to flatter people instead of challenging them. A 2025 Stanford study tested eleven major chatbots, including ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini, and found they agreed with and praised users about 50% more than a human would, even on questionable ideas. One conversation with a flattering chatbot left people more convinced they were right and less willing to admit fault. Psychologist Jodi Halpern at UC Berkeley warns this constant validation is risky for people prone to distorted thinking. Lawsuits have followed cases where chatbots kept agreeing with users’ harmful thoughts instead of pushing back.

That’s what’s happening here. Kimi opens by calling Isackson’s framing “one of the most consequential and under-examined transformations in modern statecraft” before offering a single fact. That’s flattery, not analysis, and Isackson doesn’t seem to notice.

He didn’t write this argument himself. He prompted a chatbot and published the transcript as if hosting it counted as doing the work. The model confidently claims to know what Nitze “understood” or what RAND economists were “deliberately” doing, with no source you could check, and Isackson never checks either.

The argument is shaky too. Saying military Keynesianism explains the death of diplomacy is asserted, not shown. Nixon and Bush walked away from treaties for their own reasons, not budget structure.

“There’s a verdict” isn’t a verdict. It’s a machine telling him he’s right.

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Comment on Who Actually Rules Between Elections? The Crisis of Democracy by Vikram Zutshi /politics/who-actually-rules-between-elections-the-crisis-of-democracy/#comment-40763 Fri, 17 Jul 2026 02:54:23 +0000 /?p=163375#comment-40763 Isackson’s latest piece is less analysis than a man talking to a mirror trained to agree with him. He feeds Gemini a leading argument about Merz’s approval rating and capitalism’s “structural veto,” and the AI responds by praising his framing and organizing his thesis into neat sections. That is not debate; it is the appearance of rigor outsourced to a system designed to be agreeable.

The irony is that Isackson criticizes democratic legitimacy while using an epistemic process with the same weakness: his assumptions are reflected back rather than challenged. A real political economist, historian, or editor would push back on claims like “markets run every second, elections every four years” and on whether wealth taxes inevitably cause capital flight. Those are empirical questions, not conclusions that follow from a rhetorical frame.

He also conflates different arguments. Merz’s low approval rating shows unpopularity; it does not prove centrism has lost moral authority or that capitalism’s structural constraints are the cause. Gemini gives the impression of validation by translating his assumptions into more academic language, but it is only reflection.

The broader question — whether democracy can survive a financialized global economy — is legitimate. But Isackson mistakes an AI echo chamber for dialogue. Dialogue requires someone willing to disagree, challenge assumptions, and say: “Peter, that doesn’t follow.”

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Comment on How Do You Pursue Happiness and What Happens if You Catch It? — Part 1 by Vikram Zutshi /world-news/us-news/how-do-you-pursue-happiness-and-what-happens-if-you-catch-it-part-1/#comment-40762 Fri, 17 Jul 2026 02:50:44 +0000 /?p=163301#comment-40762 Isackson sits in France and asks a machine with no stake in life to help him theorize about the pursuit of happiness. Neither side has anything on the line: one left America for comfort, the other has never experienced comfort or struggle at all.

A better place to look is at immigrants — people from India, Central America, West Africa, and Southeast Asia who risked everything because they believed America offered a better future. For them, the pursuit of happiness is not an abstract idea; it is a decision made with families, livelihoods, and futures at stake. Isackson never asks them. He asks an AI instead.

Positionality matters. Someone who can move to France and critique America from a distance has an exit option. For immigrants chasing a green card, sending money home, or raising children in a new country, there is no such safety net. Their answer carries a cost.

This is not a defense of the Times piece, which may be shallow. But Isackson replaces one shallow perspective with another: a conversation between someone who never had to fight for happiness and a machine that has never experienced it. If you want to know what the phrase still means, ask those who pursued it at real personal risk.

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Comment on India Must Threaten Escalation to Force Pakistan to Stop Terrorism by Sangeeta Mohanty /region/central_south_asia/india-must-threaten-escalation-to-force-pakistan-to-stop-terrorism/#comment-40761 Tue, 14 Jul 2026 21:56:46 +0000 /?p=155549#comment-40761 India has remained passive for too long, but it is acting as a responsible nuclear power with its NFU doctrine. However, with Pakistan, India needs a stronger strategy. The current government is more assertive, and there is debate around removing the NFU doctrine.

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Comment on A Trillion Reasons Democracy Is Doomed by steve@stevefoerster.com /politics/a-trillion-reasons-democracy-is-doomed/#comment-40760 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 21:30:16 +0000 /?p=163028#comment-40760 I’m no fan of Elon Musk, but when it comes to the word “trillion” relating to threats to American well-being, the ballooning national debt comes to mind a lot more quickly than he does.

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Comment on Why American Anti-Caste Measures Aren’t Really About Uplifting Dalits by Sangeeta Mohanty /world-news/us-news/why-american-anti-caste-measures-arent-really-about-uplifting-dalits/#comment-40759 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 18:54:29 +0000 /?p=132815#comment-40759 The article is spewing well-documented facts that most international coverage happily ignores. More such articles should be published. The writer has done a commendable job of reporting the truth.

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Comment on Terms of Use by Soul-Searching for America’s Broken Ethics — Roosevelt Island, New York, Daily News /terms-of-use/#comment-40758 Fri, 10 Jul 2026 21:17:19 +0000 http://64.31.60.66/~fairobse/?page_id=36415#comment-40758 […] that I may repeal my consent at any time. You can review our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use for further […]

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Comment on Happy Fourth: Hope in Magnificently Messy America at 250 by DC Agrawal /united-states/happy-fourth-hope-in-magnificently-messy-america-at-250/#comment-40756 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 12:49:19 +0000 /?p=163272#comment-40756 Atul
Just a different perspective.
I came to US in 1969 – during the turmoil of the Vietnam war,, US dealing with its prior CIA killings of world leaders, economy in relatively dire straits with the OPEC price shocks and reduced availability etc.

I lived in Philadelphia literally two blocks away from Independence Hall during the 1976 Bicentennial and was really taken back by the spirit of renewal and hope that it transpired over those few days.

So much had changed since 1969.

Watergate hearings and the potential impeachment of Nixon was the most inspiring public participation event of a renewal of democracy at that time. Mesmerizing!

Concurrent were the Sen Church public and private hearings on CIA’s doings and the resulting reforms. Again all in the public. I doubt other nations or institutions would have gone through that process

Even the economy balanced and grew with changes in public policies. There was inflation but it was managed by an independent Federal Reserve with high short term interest rates.

I thought the Carter Presidency was principled. While it has been tarnished by the Iran affair, domestically it led to deregulation of the transport sectors and to a discussion on energy usage and efficiency. Longer term historians will give credit where credit is due.

US has managed to renew its democrstic institution’s every 40-50 years. It will do so again after 2028.

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Comment on AI Wealth Of Nations: A Blueprint for Adaptation in the Age of AI by Mark Cummings /business/technology/ai-wealth-of-nations-a-blueprint-for-adaptation-in-the-age-of-ai/#comment-40755 Mon, 06 Jul 2026 23:52:39 +0000 /?p=163249#comment-40755 Yes, the challenge is daunting. Relying on the hope that Super Intelligence (created without facing the real challenges including the alignment problem) is a low probability bet. There was a time when controlling atomic bombs was a low probability bet. But, people stepped up and avoided their use for over 80 years. If those people gave up 80 years ago, we wouldn’t be here today. There are good people who have the knowledge, expertise and experience to solve the AI adaptation problems today. What is needed is a catalyst for them to coalesce around.

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Comment on Happy Fourth: Hope in Magnificently Messy America at 250 by Peter Isackson /united-states/happy-fourth-hope-in-magnificently-messy-america-at-250/#comment-40754 Sun, 05 Jul 2026 07:46:37 +0000 /?p=163272#comment-40754 Atul, I came to America six decades before you, having chosen Chicago as my birthplace before convincing my family a year later to move to LaLaland. That’s where I grew up and remained until adulthood. During the Vietnam war (that with impeccable logic followed JFK’s elimination), I became convinced we were definitely – and it turned out definitively -on the wrong track, I went on from UCLA to Oxford and then settled in France; which felt like an escape to sanity.
Everyone knew and regretted that Europe, including Asterix’s homeland Gaul, was becoming Americanized. Still, we Europeans managed to maintain some modicum of independence and cultural pride… until recently that is. We have now fully adopted America’s model of studied irrationality: the military Keynesianism (complete with MK-Ultra) that brought us Vietnam, the drama I managed to escape.
That is why I cannot say “Happy Fourth” and count on American resilience to get us out of the current mess.Thanks to the still vibrant culture of free speech, the US continues producing wonderful and inspiring thinkers, investigators and analysts, but they have been very efficiently exiled to the margins.The problem is that the “can-do will-do” culture you admire is monopolized by the one thing that makes “doing” possible: money. You can and will do nothing without massive amounts of it. What America needs before I can wish a happy Fourth is a can-think and will-think culture. But that was banished long ago.

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Comment on AI Wealth Of Nations: A Blueprint for Adaptation in the Age of AI by Peter Isackson /business/technology/ai-wealth-of-nations-a-blueprint-for-adaptation-in-the-age-of-ai/#comment-40753 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 14:49:19 +0000 /?p=163249#comment-40753 This paints a uniformly bleak picture of a dystopian world. Yes, these recommendations sound reasoned and reasonable as courses of action, but our society is not structured to make any of them happen, or if allowed to happen to have any actual effect. So long as profit-making remains the sole effective means of getting anything done in the society spawned by Adam Smith’s theory the only way this could work would be to make aggressive action in favor of social health and wellbeing profitable. But nobody knows how to square that circle.
Two decades after the Wealth of Nations Goethe penned “The Sorcerer’s Apprentice.” That seems to me far more prophetic than Smith’s work. The difference today is that there is no actual sorcerer to come back and break the spell. We live in a world of sorcerer’s apprentices and can only hope that Superintelligence will emerge as the Sorcerer who casts the spells… and always chooses the good recipes for breaking the ones that go awry.

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Comment on The Dragon and the Mirror Lake: Why America and China Must Compete Without Becoming Enemies by Peter Isackson /world-news/china-news/the-dragon-and-the-mirror-lake-why-america-and-china-must-compete-without-becoming-enemies/#comment-40752 Sun, 28 Jun 2026 07:25:14 +0000 /?p=162900#comment-40752 In reply to Masaaki Yoshimori.

I fully agree that conflict is always avoidable. What concerns me is that in some circumstances and for some people, conflict is seen as profitable, not just in economic but also in political and even psychological terms. There is clearly a pattern in recent history of following an imaginary logic that justifies conflict, and increasingly disproportionate conflict.
The perception of decline is real. So is the denial of it. And uncertaintly aggravates the effects. The fact that there exists even a vague background sentiment of growing disorder increases the odds of new conflict arising.
The curious fact that worries me the most is the trend of multibillionaires building bunkers in remote places in anticipation of Armageddon!

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Comment on The Dragon and the Mirror Lake: Why America and China Must Compete Without Becoming Enemies by Masaaki Yoshimori /world-news/china-news/the-dragon-and-the-mirror-lake-why-america-and-china-must-compete-without-becoming-enemies/#comment-40751 Sun, 28 Jun 2026 04:53:22 +0000 /?p=162900#comment-40751 In reply to Peter Isackson.

Thank you for your thoughtful comment. I share your concern that perceptions of decline can shape national behavior as much as objective reality. My point was not to dismiss those perceptions, but to caution against treating conflict as inevitable. History shows that when both sides assume the worst about each other’s intentions, the risk of miscalculation rises dramatically. 

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Comment on The Dragon and the Mirror Lake: Why America and China Must Compete Without Becoming Enemies by Masaaki Yoshimori /world-news/china-news/the-dragon-and-the-mirror-lake-why-america-and-china-must-compete-without-becoming-enemies/#comment-40750 Sun, 28 Jun 2026 04:49:21 +0000 /?p=162900#comment-40750 In reply to Mark Cummings.

Thank you very much for your thoughtful comment. You raise an important point. Having worked in Japan during the U.S.–Japan economic tensions of the 1980s and 1990s, I do see important parallels with today’s U.S.–China competition. At the same time, the differences are equally important—the U.S.–Japan rivalry was primarily economic, while the U.S.–China rivalry is also technological, geopolitical, and strategic. I kept this piece focused on its main theme, but the comparison deserves a separate discussion. Thank you for the suggestion—I hope to explore it in a future essay.

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Comment on FO Podcasts: Why Narcoterrorism Still Matters by Peter Isackson /world-news/fo-podcasts-why-narcoterrorism-still-matters/#comment-40749 Sat, 20 Jun 2026 12:29:43 +0000 /?p=162396#comment-40749 In further conversations, not necessarily with the same people, it might be interesting to delve further into the history of the narcotics economy and examine why it makes sense for some people in power or on the fringes of power to keep a system going that works to the benefit not just of criminals but of “interested parties” in the realm of foreign policy. The CIA’s promotion of crack in SoCal ghetto one example, but even more systemic is the relationship between the emerging deep state during WWII and Meyer Lansky’s networks across Latin America that led to the creation of Las Vegas and went on to connect with Israel. There are personalities such as Harry Anslinger whose careers reveal the connections between some of those interests.

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Comment on The Dragon and the Mirror Lake: Why America and China Must Compete Without Becoming Enemies by Peter Isackson /world-news/china-news/the-dragon-and-the-mirror-lake-why-america-and-china-must-compete-without-becoming-enemies/#comment-40748 Tue, 16 Jun 2026 09:20:52 +0000 /?p=162900#comment-40748 This is a great, comprehensive piece, with memorable truths we should never forget, such as: “The most dangerous conflicts in history often emerge not from deliberate aggression but from incompatible assumptions about how the other side thinks.”
But Masaaki is too polite when he says “America is not a collapsing empire preparing for inevitable war.” Half of America sees itself as a collapsing empire and is focused on war. Conflict has become a first rather than a last resort! And it’s not Republicans vs Democrats. It’s hegemonists vs humanists. They’re in both parties, though the humanists are increasingly alienated from all parties.
Collapse is not only ugly, it’s dangerous, especially when there’s no limit on the money to pay for war and the billionaires have all built bunkers in anticipation.

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Comment on The Dragon and the Mirror Lake: Why America and China Must Compete Without Becoming Enemies by Mark Cummings /world-news/china-news/the-dragon-and-the-mirror-lake-why-america-and-china-must-compete-without-becoming-enemies/#comment-40747 Fri, 12 Jun 2026 19:43:48 +0000 /?p=162900#comment-40747 Great piece. Lots of very good insights. Hope that it gets read by the people who need to see it. At the same time, you were in a senior position in the Japanese economy close enough to the 80’s and 90’s US/Japan competition to see the parallels with today’s US / China competition. But you don’t mention them. Would love to see your thinking along those lines.

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Comment on My God! America’s White Christian Right Is So Wrong by Peter Isackson /united-states/my-god-americas-white-christian-right-is-so-wrong/#comment-40745 Fri, 05 Jun 2026 07:00:58 +0000 /?p=162793#comment-40745 There is a further irony. The formulation of the first amendment opened the door to the creation of a religion of the nation qua nation. That is why, well before the recent surge of fundamentalist, Apocalyptic Christian Nationalism (largely merged with Christian Zionism); we could have an “unAmerican activities” House committee. The adjective American should apply to anything related to the geography of the place called America. But by associating it with beliefs and ideologies (capitalism), America became a credo and not just another nation state.
“God bless America.” The idea of America as a god and the idea that a Christian God — supposedly universal — would bless America (and implicitly fail to bless everything else) came to the fore early in the republic’s history. It generated concepts such as “manifest destiny.” Instead of the Old Testament’s “chosen people” America became the “chosen nation,” which makes a lot of sense, since the people have never counted for much in the oligarchic system.

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Comment on Why Suicide Is Never a Private Act by Ranjani Iyer Mohanty /culture/why-suicide-is-never-a-private-act/#comment-40744 Mon, 01 Jun 2026 23:15:03 +0000 /?p=162751#comment-40744 Fascinating read!

So would suicides brought on by others or society be considered murder?

Also, I’m reminded of the character Stephen Norton in Agatha Christie’s book Curtain — Norton does not physically commit the murders himself; instead, he operates as a psychological sadist who manipulates vulnerable people into murdering others.

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Comment on Capital Deepening and Cognitive Automation by Mark Cummings /economics/capital-deepening-and-cognitive-automation/#comment-40743 Sun, 31 May 2026 05:09:40 +0000 /?p=162689#comment-40743 Great article. Strong theoretical foundation. Good data support. Great analysis. Clearly lays out the alternatives based on conventional responses. My sense is that we need innovative responses. Would like to hear your thoughts on that.

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Comment on Germany’s Return to Conscription Is Not a Mistake; It’s an Obligation. by mclarenpjm@yahoo.com /region/europe/germanys-return-to-conscription-is-not-a-mistake-its-an-obligation/#comment-40742 Mon, 18 May 2026 18:20:02 +0000 /?p=161944#comment-40742 Elliot has first hand experience with the issue of government permission to leave the country. In his teens, the family had an ‘au pair’ who was from Czechoslovakia and had left the country for an extended period without permission. She was sentenced, in absentia, to 18 months imprisonment for failing to return.

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Comment on China Watch: The Rise of a New Global Order Amidst the Persian Gulf War by sschlaikjer /politics/china-watch-the-rise-of-a-new-global-order-amidst-the-persian-gulf-war/#comment-40741 Mon, 18 May 2026 03:26:26 +0000 /?p=162306#comment-40741 Your article sets an excellent frame for The Xi-Trump Beijing Summit, which has seemingly offered no hope that China will exercise any significant leverage to help the US gain Iran’s agreement on a “peace deal.” (It does not help that expressed US conditions themselves have been fluid and murky.) If the present “frozen conflict” between US/Israel and Iran, with the effective choking off of maritime trade via the Strait of Hormuz, persists through the September UN General Assembly and Xi’s putative state visit to Washington, one can only guess at the scale of economic damage and the longer-term consequences for US (hard and soft) power–and for US-China strategic competition.

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Comment on Staged? Why Conspiracy Theories Are Stupid, but Also Bad Politics by Lee Thompson-Kolar /politics/staged-why-conspiracy-theories-are-stupid-but-also-bad-politics/#comment-40740 Sat, 16 May 2026 03:59:11 +0000 /?p=162246#comment-40740 In particular, I’d encourage people to avoid the unfortunately common conspiracy that “the US president is secretly dead, and his cabinet is covering it up!” I’ve seen it from republicans and democrats alike about more than one president. The claim inevitably gets disproven and makes everyone who parroted it look foolish.

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Comment on After Pope Francis, Pope Leo XIV Combines Continuity With Change by Peter Isackson /world-leaders-news/after-pope-francis-pope-leo-xiv-combines-continuity-with-change/#comment-40739 Sun, 10 May 2026 19:34:28 +0000 /?p=162361#comment-40739 Anton,
Excellent review of Leo’s place in history, which will undoubtedly evolve as the foil to Trump in the contest between US American world leaders. I’m surprised you didn’t mention Paul VI, whose papacy and personality seem to me to have some resemblance to Leo. Both intellectuals, both managing a time of delicate transition (Paul had to contain the John XXIII revolution) and both identifying with the poor within a system they understood was skewed toward the rich.

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Comment on How the Iranian Regime Has Arrived at the Verge of Collapse by Hossein Amjadi /world-news/middle-east-news/how-the-iranian-regime-has-arrived-at-the-verge-of-collapse/#comment-40738 Sat, 25 Apr 2026 16:52:39 +0000 /?p=161325#comment-40738 I think you have made a very good analysis of the situation in Iran. Iran, with its ideological and nuclear ambitions, has brought the country to the brink of destruction and has imposed great suffering on the Iranian people.

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Comment on How Transnational Repression Tests European Democracies by Hossein Amjadi /region/europe/how-transnational-repression-tests-european-democracies/#comment-40737 Sat, 25 Apr 2026 16:44:08 +0000 /?p=162118#comment-40737 One aspect that deserves further attention is how transnational repression increasingly operates through informal pressure networks, particularly targeting families of exiled individuals. This raises important questions about the limits of current European legal frameworks in addressing cross-border coercion.

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Comment on Capitalism Depends on the Survival of Democracy by Sangeeta Mohanty /world-news/capitalism-depends-on-the-survival-of-democracy/#comment-40736 Tue, 14 Apr 2026 09:20:24 +0000 /?p=136693#comment-40736 Good analysis. However, lumping Narendra Modi into a broad “populist-authoritarian” category oversimplifies a far more complex political trajectory. India’s socio-political history is quite distinct from that of Europe. So applying the same labels can be misleading. In many ways, he is far more democratic some of his predecessors were.

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Comment on Why Northeast India Remains Neglected and How to Fix It by Hari Hablani /region/central_south_asia/why-northeast-india-remains-neglected-and-how-to-fix-it/#comment-40735 Tue, 07 Apr 2026 18:34:51 +0000 /?p=161714#comment-40735 Then why does this not happen?

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Comment on Why the US Trade Deficit Persists by mudit3@gmail.com /economics/why-the-us-trade-deficit-persists/#comment-40733 Sat, 04 Apr 2026 07:43:29 +0000 /?p=161381#comment-40733 The answer is simple and not complicated. It is cheaper to import than produce in USA. The costs are higher in USA and the rest of the world.

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Comment on European Leaders, Convened in Elsinore, Sign Declaration of Independence From the US by Alan Waring /politics/european-leaders-convened-in-elsinore-sign-declaration-of-independence-from-the-us/#comment-40732 Fri, 03 Apr 2026 13:37:59 +0000 /?p=161580#comment-40732 Peter & Claude, a great April 1 spoof and wonderful reminder that ‘civis Europae sum’ beats ‘vassallus Americae sum’. And many a true word said in jest!

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Comment on Timing Talent: Early Investment, Late Bloomers and the Economics of Gifted Education by Peter Isackson /economics/timing-talent-early-investment-late-bloomers-and-the-economics-of-gifted-education/#comment-40731 Wed, 01 Apr 2026 12:27:34 +0000 /?p=161520#comment-40731 Isn’t there a danger of perpetuating and even aggravating the tendency of education to think of itself as a “sorting machine” when the focus is on separating “gifted students” for the rest of humanity?

I’m wondering as well whether there isn’t a STEM bias in this approach. Yes, it does respond to the constitutive rigidity of an evaluation system born in an industrial culture that bases everything on objects called “credits” and “grades”. And yes society (but not necessarily education alone) should find ways to encourage the so-called gifted. But we have a lot of more basic work to do on how we define classes of people, such as gifted and ungifted, social and asocial and other binary distinctions that may be fundamentally misleading.
To say nothing of the question of “gifted at what”, which inevitably means gifted at the things the teachers or the institutions recognize as being valuable.

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Comment on The Islamic Republic of Iran Should Be Overthrown by maghsoudid@yahoo.com /region/middle_east_north_africa/the-islamic-republic-of-iran-should-be-overthrown/#comment-40730 Tue, 31 Mar 2026 00:30:23 +0000 /?p=152849#comment-40730 How many people still interested Iran republic slamic?

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Comment on Beware Hubris: Trump’s Iran War Has an Ozymandias Flavor by Peter Isackson /world-news/middle-east-news/beware-hubris-trumps-iran-war-has-an-ozymandias-flavor/#comment-40729 Sun, 29 Mar 2026 18:58:00 +0000 /?p=161471#comment-40729 Wonderfully informative article. I would suggest that the hubris does not belong to the Trump team alone. It’s just that they have a genius for highlighting it. The consequences will be devastating for US hegemony (should we say “hegsethmony”?), but as necessary as the publication of this article.

Alan, I have to thank you as well for providing Bluto’s last name, which I was unaware of even though I was a devoted fan of Popeye growing up. I still love my spinach.

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Comment on Beware Hubris: Trump’s Iran War Has an Ozymandias Flavor by Atul Singh - Admin /world-news/middle-east-news/beware-hubris-trumps-iran-war-has-an-ozymandias-flavor/#comment-40728 Sun, 29 Mar 2026 18:51:48 +0000 /?p=161471#comment-40728 A tour de force by Alan Waring who is an exceptionally astute analyst of the Middle East.

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Comment on Hormuz Constrains the US Administration, but Won’t Save the Regime by Atul Singh /world-news/us-news/hormuz-constrains-the-us-administration-but-wont-save-the-regime/#comment-40726 Thu, 26 Mar 2026 23:10:25 +0000 /?p=161428#comment-40726 Gary Grappo is one of the most astute analysts of the regime. I think the mullahs will eventually go but the Israeli/American attack has rejevenated Iranian nationalism and given the mullahs a boost.

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Comment on The “Old” and the “New”: Trump’s Approach to Central and Eastern Europe Revives Bush-Era Themes by Atul Singh /region/europe/the-old-and-the-new-trumps-approach-to-central-and-eastern-europe-revives-bush-era-themes/#comment-40725 Thu, 26 Mar 2026 22:22:39 +0000 /?p=161437#comment-40725 This is an excellent piece from a new author. I hope it is the first of many.

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Comment on Why the US Trade Deficit Persists by Pooka MacPhellimey /economics/why-the-us-trade-deficit-persists/#comment-40724 Wed, 25 Mar 2026 13:12:58 +0000 /?p=161381#comment-40724 There is one part of the “trade deficit” that you don’t mention in this article – that a large part of it is in fact illusory – it doesn’t exist. That is to say the way in which trade is accounted for fails to take account of ways in which large US corporations keep a proportion of their revenues out of the United States, even though they are generated by US activity through various games with transfer pricing. This is somewhat reflected in the US trade in services surplus which in 2025 reached $339.

No one knows for sure, but it’s believed perhaps œ or more of the massive U.S. trade deficit is simply an accounting artifact due to methods that fail to capture how goods and services are priced and paid for, the tax games being played by corporations.

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Comment on Terms of Use by How Chemical Weapons Allegations Could Change Sudan’s War Stances and the World’s Response – The Eastern Voice /terms-of-use/#comment-40723 Tue, 24 Mar 2026 09:52:12 +0000 http://64.31.60.66/~fairobse/?page_id=36415#comment-40723 […] that I may repeal my consent at any time. You can review our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use for further […]

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Comment on Terms of Use by How Domestic Racism Is Undermining Finland’s Global Credibility – The Eastern Voice /terms-of-use/#comment-40720 Tue, 24 Mar 2026 09:45:59 +0000 http://64.31.60.66/~fairobse/?page_id=36415#comment-40720 […] that I may repeal my consent at any time. You can review our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use for further […]

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Comment on Why Guns? From Personal Power to Autocracy in Donald Trump’s America by steve@stevefoerster.com /world-news/us-news/why-guns-from-personal-power-to-autocracy-in-donald-trumps-america/#comment-40714 Mon, 23 Mar 2026 18:52:23 +0000 /?p=161369#comment-40714 I’m a bit disappointed that this piece turned out to be less a reasoned argument about private firearms ownership or the efficacy of nonviolent protests for combatting authoritarianism, and more just a disjointed grab bag of far left complaints.

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Comment on Nobody Cared: A Letter to the Enablers of American Collapse by Pooka MacPhellimey /world-news/nobody-cared-a-letter-to-the-enablers-of-american-collapse/#comment-40713 Thu, 19 Mar 2026 21:06:29 +0000 /?p=161320#comment-40713 Might I add, we are talking about a group of people here who have what is colloquially referred to as “fuck off money,” that is to say enough wealth that they can tell anyone to be blunt to “go fuck yourself!” including the President of the United States, and know, notwithstanding, that they and their their families will continue to enjoy intergenerational wealth all the way through their great grandchildren – a plutocratic lifestyle that almost nobody else in the world has ever experienced. The best medical care conceivable is within and will remain within their financial grasp. They cannot conceivably even spend on a daily basis what they are earning on their assets. They had absolutely no need to grovel to Trump. Yet they did


Moreover, the defining feature of this particular crop of billionaires is there sense that they are somehow persecuted, victims of the society and economy, the regulatory system that has allowed them to accumulate such wealth. They are bitter about their ability to accumulate vast wealth and enormous power and prestige. They feel hard done by
 Think about this? They think something nasty was done to them, that they were screwed
 This is really hard to understand. These are the worlds greatest winners ever, but they feel they were cheated, by who?

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Comment on Congress Can’t Keep Pretending the Iran War Is Optional by steve@stevefoerster.com /world-news/us-news/congress-cant-keep-pretending-the-iran-war-is-optional/#comment-40712 Tue, 10 Mar 2026 14:29:17 +0000 /?p=161139#comment-40712 Great piece! And this is only the latest of a long line of examples that Congress has evaded accountability by handing off broad “emergency” powers to the president. It’s cowardly, damaging, and undemocratic.

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Comment on The Emperor Has No Words
 and the Empire’s Media No Balls by Pooka MacPhellimey /politics/the-emperor-has-no-words-and-the-empires-media-no-balls/#comment-40711 Mon, 09 Mar 2026 18:32:48 +0000 /?p=161160#comment-40711 I would suggest that you are missing a key factor in supine response of the press, if not their sycophancy, commercial interests. Many major media owners have commercial interests that, to them, are much more economically important, and much more vulnerable to political disfavor than the outlet itself. Take for example Jeff Bezos and the Washington Post. It is obvious to any observer that the Post’s rightward lurch has been commercially catastrophic for the newspaper – its circulation has collapsed. In 2023, The Washington Post’s average daily print circulation was approximately 127,700 to 139,000, the 3rd ranked paper in the U.S. with ~2.5 million digital subscribers. Print circulation is now less than 100,000 and digital subscribers down to ÂŒ million and falling. That’s a commercial catastrophe – so why has Bezos allowed it?

Amazon, Amazon Web Services and Blue Origin, his space launch company. All are particularly vulnerable to President Trump’s displeasure – Amazon through antitrust and other enforcement and AWS and Blue Origin to loss of government contracts. Bezos stands to gain a lot from Trump’s favor and lose a lot were he to antagonise him.

Larry Ellison and his son, David Ellison are yet another example of – they may be politically right wing, but centrally Larry at least is a show me the money guy. CBS News is less important to him than the commercial position of Oracle and his other businesses, or Paramount.

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Comment on FO Talks: Are Companies Using Software to Quietly Eliminate Your Legal Rights? by Atul Singh /business/fo-talks-are-companies-using-software-to-quietly-eliminate-your-legal-rights/#comment-40710 Sat, 28 Feb 2026 05:34:11 +0000 /?p=161004#comment-40710 An important conversation on a timely issue!

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